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Stochastic Risk Evaluation Scheme for Wave-off Decision Making in Automatic Aircraft Carrier Landing

Jihoon Lee, Seokwon Lee, Somang Lee, Youdan Kim, Jungha Park, Seungkeun Kim, Jinyoung Suk

7th Asia-Pacific International Symposium on Aerospace Technology (APISAT), Cairns, Australia, Nov. 2015

Fig. 1: The standard procedure of automatic aircraft carrier landing
Fig. 1: The standard procedure of automatic aircraft carrier landing
Fig. 3: Definitions of the probabilities used in the risk evaluation scheme.
Fig. 3: Definitions of the probabilities used in the risk evaluation scheme.

Figures and captions reproduced from the paper (© the authors and original publisher).

One of the greatest challenges for the air operations of fully automated aircraft carrier is to design an autonomous decision making system. In this paper, a probability-based risk evaluation scheme is proposed to make a wave-off, which is equivalent to go-around in ground landing, and the wave-off decision plays an important role in the terminal portion of landing. By the proposed risk evaluation scheme, the most probable consequence of the landing attempt can be forecasted. The risk evaluation scheme introduces six variables which are related to a glide path error, and they are assumed to follow the Gaussian probability distribution. The Monte Carlo simulation results with X-Plane flight simulator show that there exists a significant positive correlation between the estimated probabilities and the actual occurrence rate.

Author PDFhttps://jihoonlee91.github.io/papers/pdfs/2015-stochastic-risk-wave-off-decision.pdfBibTeX@inproceedings{Lee2015, title = {Stochastic Risk Evaluation Scheme for Wave-off Decision Making in Automatic Aircraft Carrier Landing}, author = {Jihoon Lee and Seokwon Lee and Somang Lee and Youdan Kim and Jungha Park and Seungkeun Kim and Jinyoung Suk}, year = {2015}, booktitle = {7th Asia-Pacific International Symposium on Aerospace Technology (APISAT), Cairns, Australia, Nov. 2015}, }